Author: Jérémie Smaga
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The early days of Quantitative Finance
A lot of people start studying Quantitative Finance because they see it as a great way to earn money. It seems indeed reasonable that somebody with great mathematical skills would be looking for opportunities allowing him to make a profit — sometimes at the expense of others. I can still remember like yesterday seeing a…
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Implied odds behind lay betting
In a precedent post, I introduced the concept of back and lay bets on a given event, for example the fact that it will rain on a given day. We also said that we are given some odds $o$, which express how much we can earn if we guess the right outcome between the event…
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Expected Shortfall closed-form for Normal distribution
Today, I would like to share a little exercise I did to compute the Expected Shortfall of a normal variable. For those of you who are not familiar with this risk measure, it evaluates the average of the $(1-\alpha)$-worst outcomes of a probability distribution (example and formal definition follow). If you have enough data, the…
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An introduction to Risk Parity
Hello everyone! In this post, I’d like to start talking again about asset allocation and in particular to introduce you to a relatively new concept in the field: risk parity. Don’t get me wrong, this approach has been around for quite a while now — I think the first to create a product around this…
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New challenges in Hong Kong!
Hello everyone, Since arriving in Hong Kong two years ago, I haven’t had too many chances to contribute to this blog. There are multiple reasons to this. First of all, my work at Noble Group was taking me a considerable amount of time and energy. It was my first experience in the physical commodity market, and…